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I think it's clear that if Amber and Rob are left, Alicia will vote for Amber, but I think everyone else's vote is up in the air.
At the beginning of the show, I absolutely hated Rob, but now I have much more respect for him, primarily because he's playing the game and doing it well while the others make one stupid strategic move after another. The thing is, Rupert can win the thing if he plays it right. First of all, everybody likes him. I would say that once four people are in the jury box, it's time for Rupert to be mean, which means that he's got to get either Amber or Rob out of there right away, which means he's got to set up an alliance to make it happen.
Let's face it, Shi-Ann is gone next week, which leaves Jenna, Big Tom, Rupert, Rob, and Amber. Rupert can easily sway Big Tom, form a three-person alliance, and oust Amber or Rob. At that point, Rupert has complete control.
The thing is, next week it looks like Rupert's alliance with Jenna is starting to fray, which would be the worst strategic move he could make. He needs her. The only threat to Rupert at a final two scenario is Big Tom. Everyone else will lose in a jury vote for sure. At this point, it's Rupert's game to lose. Tom has got to know that he's in bad shape because Rob betrayed Alicia, so his logical move is to go with Rupert to save himself.
LS
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